Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 46.7%

FLA: 53.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.30

FLA: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	3	1.23
1	FLA	12	0	0.97
2	NYI	32	5	2.81
2	FLA	7	1	0.61
3	NYI	9	4	1.41
3	FLA	5	3	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9