Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 52.9%
FLA: 47.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.34
FLA: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | NYI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | NYI 5 - 2 FLA | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-03-01 | NYI 5 - 4 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-12-07 | FLA 4 - 1 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-16 | NYI 4 - 2 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-02-02 | FLA 6 - 3 NYI | FLA | FLA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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