New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 72.5%

NJD: 27.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.60

NJD: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.91
1	NJD	11	0	0.59
2	CAR	24	2	2.17
2	NJD	9	0	0.81
3	CAR	15	2	1.74
3	NJD	10	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7