Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 51.4%

MTL: 48.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.12

MTL: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NSH at home vs MTL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	6	0	0.22
1	MTL	17	0	1.26
2	NSH	17	0	0.86
2	MTL	19	0	1.38
3	NSH	14	0	0.91
3	MTL	12	2	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1