Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 55.5%

FLA: 44.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.12

FLA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Stat	NYR	FLA
Season SV%	0.910	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.80

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	27	26	1	96.3%	2.88	1	1.88
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	19	3	86.4%	3.15	2	0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.29
1	FLA	22	0	1.06
2	NYR	14	0	0.67
2	FLA	8	0	0.46
3	NYR	11	2	2.19
3	FLA	17	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown