Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYR: 52.9%

FLA: 47.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.87

FLA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.29
1	FLA	22	0	1.06
2	NYR	14	0	0.67
2	FLA	8	0	0.46
3	NYR	11	2	2.19
3	FLA	17	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0