Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

TBL: 77.5%

NSH: 22.5%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.98

NSH: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	7	0	0.55
1	NSH	14	2	1.07
2	TBL	17	1	1.19
2	NSH	13	1	1.25
3	TBL	27	4	2.50
3	NSH	18	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 4.0 - 2.6