Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 75.9%

MTL: 24.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.47

MTL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	1	1.11
1	MTL	10	0	0.59
2	CAR	23	1	2.06
2	MTL	14	3	1.57
3	CAR	22	0	1.05
3	MTL	5	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1