Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 58.9%

BOS: 41.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.35

BOS: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	CBJ	BOS
Season SV%	0.909	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	41	36	5	87.8%	6.90	10	1.90
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	23	4	85.2%	3.70	1	-0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	16	0	1.39
1	BOS	10	2	0.89
2	CBJ	8	0	0.61
2	BOS	21	1	1.61
3	CBJ	7	0	0.29
3	BOS	19	3	1.86
4	CBJ	3	0	0.35
4	BOS	7	2	0.70
5	CBJ	3	1	1.07
5	BOS	3	2	1.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8