Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-03-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 76.8%

VAN: 23.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.60

VAN: 2.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	12	1	0.92
1	VAN	8	0	0.81
2	VGK	22	2	1.96
2	VAN	11	0	0.49
3	VGK	13	3	1.69
3	VAN	9	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.3