St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-03-30 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 40.4%

STL: 59.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.94

STL: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	1.30
1	STL	5	0	0.27
2	SJS	11	1	0.83
2	STL	12	0	0.91
3	SJS	13	0	0.82
3	STL	18	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5