New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-03-31 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 51.7%
NYI: 48.3%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.74
NYI: 2.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.967 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • BUF at home vs NYI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | NYI 0 - 5 BUF | BUF | NYI |
| 2025-12-20 | BUF 3 - 2 NYI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-23 | NYI 1 - 7 BUF | BUF | NYI |
| 2024-11-30 | NYI 3 - 0 BUF | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-11-01 | BUF 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | BUF |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-31 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.