Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-03-31 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 47.9%
MTL: 52.1%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.75
MTL: 2.09
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | TBL | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.786 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • TBL at home vs MTL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | TBL 5 - 4 MTL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-09 | MTL 1 - 6 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2025-02-09 | MTL 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2025-01-21 | MTL 3 - 2 TBL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-12-29 | TBL 2 - 5 MTL | MTL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-31 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.