Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-03-31 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 34.4%

OTT: 65.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.21

OTT: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	29	1	2.37
1	OTT	11	0	0.38
2	FLA	14	0	1.38
2	OTT	12	1	0.71
3	FLA	9	1	0.83
3	OTT	22	1	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.7