New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-31 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 48.0%

NJD: 52.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.11

NJD: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	2	1.41
1	NJD	12	0	0.49
2	NYR	19	1	1.38
2	NJD	20	1	1.40
3	NYR	10	0	0.80
3	NJD	15	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3