Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-31 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 48.0%
DET: 52.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.97
DET: 3.50
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PIT | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.884 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PIT at home vs DET: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | PIT 5 - 1 DET | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4 - 3 DET | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4 - 2 PIT | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-13 | PIT 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
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