Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 0 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 72.3%

SEA: 27.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.03

SEA: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	EDM	SEA
Season SV%	0.883	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.28	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Connor Ingram	27	27	0	100.0%	2.13	0	2.13
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	24	21	3	87.5%	2.98	1	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs SEA: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	0	1.15
1	SEA	11	0	0.43
2	EDM	14	0	0.87
2	SEA	19	0	1.00
3	EDM	8	1	0.96
3	SEA	13	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown