St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-01 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 65.2%

STL: 34.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.55

STL: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Stat	LAK	STL
Season SV%	0.901	0.869
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	3.56

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	24	23	1	95.8%	3.24	1	2.24
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	24	2	92.3%	2.41	0	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs STL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.83
1	STL	17	1	1.55
2	LAK	14	0	0.73
2	STL	9	0	0.60
3	LAK	9	0	0.35
3	STL	14	0	0.90
4	LAK	3	0	0.50
4	STL	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5