Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-04-01 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 51.3%

ANA: 48.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.23

ANA: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	SJS	ANA
Season SV%	0.896	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	31	28	3	90.3%	2.52	0	-0.48
ANA	Lukas Dostal	21	17	4	81.0%	2.56	1	-1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.88
1	ANA	17	0	1.02
2	SJS	10	1	1.09
2	ANA	14	0	0.92
3	SJS	8	0	0.60
3	ANA	12	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown