Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 53.7%

BOS: 46.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.11

BOS: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	FLA	BOS
Season SV%	0.888	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	28	1	96.6%	3.17	1	2.17
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	24	22	2	91.7%	4.16	6	2.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • FLA at home vs BOS: 8-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	10	1	0.66
1	BOS	13	1	1.03
2	FLA	16	1	1.30
2	BOS	14	0	0.43
3	FLA	12	4	2.21
3	BOS	23	0	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown