Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 57.2%

DET: 42.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.08

DET: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	DET 6 - 3 PHI	DET	PHI
2026-04-02	PHI 2 - 4 DET	DET	PHI
2026-03-28	DET 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-21	PHI 2 - 1 DET	PHI	PHI
2024-12-18	DET 6 - 4 PHI	DET	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	0	0.47
1	DET	12	0	0.87
2	PHI	23	1	1.60
2	DET	10	1	0.82
3	PHI	21	2	2.31
3	DET	8	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9