Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 77.3%

VAN: 22.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.16

VAN: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

VAN

Nikita Tolopilo - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	MIN	VAN
Season SV%	0.912	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.47	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	33	31	2	93.9%	2.97	3	0.97
VAN	Nikita Tolopilo	39	34	5	87.2%	4.13	1	-0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	19	0	0.89
1	VAN	16	2	1.17
2	MIN	15	0	1.32
2	VAN	9	1	0.74
3	MIN	17	1	1.92
3	VAN	20	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown