Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

EDM: 76.8%

CHI: 23.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.28

CHI: 2.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	21	0	1.55
1	CHI	10	2	1.26
2	EDM	20	1	1.51
2	CHI	14	0	0.91
3	EDM	13	1	1.55
3	CHI	13	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.3