Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

SJS: 61.3%

TOR: 38.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.30

TOR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SJS 4 - 1 TOR	SJS	SJS
2025-12-11	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	TOR
2025-03-27	SJS 6 - 5 TOR	SJS	SJS
2025-03-03	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	TOR
2024-01-09	TOR 7 - 1 SJS	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8