St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-04-03 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 50.8%

STL: 49.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.35

STL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs STL: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	1	0.90
1	STL	19	2	1.69
2	ANA	18	2	1.58
2	STL	10	1	0.85
3	ANA	17	1	1.31
3	STL	11	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1