Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 61.0%

MIN: 39.0%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.28

MIN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	18	0	0.76
1	MIN	12	2	1.28
2	OTT	9	1	0.66
2	MIN	16	0	0.88
3	OTT	18	1	1.08
3	MIN	9	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8