Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 67.5%
MTL: 32.5%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.49
MTL: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | NJD | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NJD at home vs MTL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | MTL 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-04-04 | NJD 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | NJD |
| 2025-11-06 | NJD 4 - 3 MTL | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-02-08 | MTL 0 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-25 | MTL 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:12 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:28 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:08 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:45 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5
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