Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 60.2%

WPG: 39.8%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.25

WPG: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CBJ	WPG
Season SV%	0.909	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	25	23	2	92.0%	2.28	0	0.28
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	16	15	1	93.8%	2.49	2	1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	2	1.21
1	WPG	12	0	0.64
2	CBJ	7	0	0.37
2	WPG	14	0	0.70
3	CBJ	16	0	0.91
3	WPG	12	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown