Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

ANA: 49.0%

CGY: 51.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.35

CGY: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	23	1	1.58
1	CGY	12	1	0.94
2	ANA	20	0	1.34
2	CGY	12	3	1.48
3	ANA	21	0	1.01
3	CGY	11	3	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1