Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 63.3%
CGY: 36.7%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.44
CGY: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | ANA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.928 | 0.810 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | ANA 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | ANA |
| 2026-03-26 | CGY 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-03-01 | ANA 3 - 2 CGY | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-25 | CGY 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-09 | ANA 4 - 3 CGY | ANA | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:11 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:24 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:20 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 07:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:44 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 09:51 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:49 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
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