Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 56.3%
NSH: 43.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.31
NSH: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | NSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-04-04 | SJS 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2026-03-24 | NSH 6 - 3 SJS | NSH | SJS |
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5 - 6 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 1 | NSH | 14 | 1 | 1.66 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 1 | 1.51 |
| 2 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 3 | SJS | 13 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 3 | NSH | 21 | 1 | 2.10 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.3 - 3.4
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