Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-04-05 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 55.2%
FLA: 44.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.30
FLA: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | PIT | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.694 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | PIT 5 - 2 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-04 | PIT 9 - 4 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-23 | FLA 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | FLA |
| 2025-03-23 | FLA 4 - 3 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-03 | FLA 3 - 2 PIT | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:00 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:15 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:50 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:12 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:08 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:15 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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