Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

OTT: 57.5%

CAR: 42.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.03

CAR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	18	2	2.15
1	CAR	17	2	1.20
2	OTT	4	1	0.33
2	CAR	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0