New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

MTL: 47.2%

NJD: 52.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.76

NJD: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.84
1	NJD	15	3	1.87
2	MTL	7	0	0.54
2	NJD	11	0	0.80
3	MTL	19	0	1.36
3	NJD	9	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2