St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-04-05 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 64.6%
STL: 35.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.57
STL: 2.31
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | COL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | STL 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2 - 3 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | COL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.3
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