Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-04-07 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Calgary Flames (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 68.8%
CGY: 31.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.44
CGY: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | DAL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.765 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CGY: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DAL 4 - 3 CGY | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-03-03 | CGY 1 - 6 DAL | DAL | CGY |
| 2025-11-22 | CGY 3 - 2 DAL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-27 | CGY 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | CGY |
| 2025-03-06 | DAL 3 - 2 CGY | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:52 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 00:26 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:16 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:39 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5
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