Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 5 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 69.9%

NSH: 30.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.71

NSH: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Stat	ANA	NSH
Season SV%	0.888	0.875
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	3.29

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	25	20	5	80.0%	2.95	3	-2.05
NSH	Justus Annunen	43	43	0	100.0%	4.32	1	4.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • ANA at home vs NSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	NSH 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-04-07	ANA 0 - 5 NSH	NSH	ANA
2025-10-21	NSH 2 - 5 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-20	NSH 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-14	ANA 2 - 1 NSH	ANA	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	18	0	1.23
1	NSH	11	0	0.50
2	ANA	21	0	1.36
2	NSH	17	1	1.54
3	ANA	25	1	1.72
3	NSH	9	2	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown