Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-04-08 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 - 4 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 44.5%
WSH: 55.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.17
WSH: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | TOR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.970 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • TOR at home vs WSH: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | TOR 0 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-18 | WSH 4 - 0 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-28 | WSH 4 - 2 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-28 | TOR 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-06 | TOR 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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