Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

OTT: 63.3%

FLA: 36.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.78

FLA: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	18	0	1.46
1	FLA	10	0	0.28
2	OTT	8	1	0.64
2	FLA	14	0	0.79
3	OTT	20	3	2.06
3	FLA	13	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8