Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 61.3%

WPG: 38.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.19

WPG: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	1.44
1	WPG	22	1	1.19
2	STL	9	0	0.48
2	WPG	14	1	1.17
3	STL	9	0	0.58
3	WPG	8	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5