Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 30.6%

CAR: 69.4%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.03

CAR: 5.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Stat	CHI	CAR
Season SV%	0.909	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.38

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	22	15	7	68.2%	2.61	1	-4.39
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	23	2	92.0%	1.99	0	-0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • CHI at home vs CAR: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	CHI 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.71
1	CAR	13	0	0.62
2	CHI	9	0	0.49
2	CAR	13	1	1.29
3	CHI	14	0	0.79
3	CAR	11	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.8

Score Breakdown