Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-04-09 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 77.0%
CGY: 23.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.66
CGY: 1.89
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | COL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • COL at home vs CGY: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CGY 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-09 | COL 3 - 1 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-30 | COL 9 - 2 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-31 | COL 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | COL |
| 2025-03-14 | CGY 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:44 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:01 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:08 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:05 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 77.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.7 - 1.9
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