St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 41.2%

STL: 58.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.03

STL: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	CHI	STL
Season SV%	0.873	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	28	23	5	82.1%	3.30	3	-1.70
STL	Joel Hofer	34	31	3	91.2%	3.10	1	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs STL: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	CHI 4 - 2 STL	CHI	STL
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	1.00
1	STL	18	2	1.63
2	CHI	13	0	0.73
2	STL	12	0	0.96
3	CHI	22	1	1.37
3	STL	7	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown