St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CHI: 35.1%

STL: 64.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.28

STL: 3.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	1.00
1	STL	18	2	1.63
2	CHI	13	0	0.73
2	STL	12	0	0.96
3	CHI	22	1	1.37
3	STL	7	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.9