St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 47.8%
STL: 52.2%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.94
STL: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | CHI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.859 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • CHI at home vs STL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:26 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:07 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:04 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:10 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:06 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:20 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:04 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:35 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.9 - 3.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.