Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 41.5%

MIN: 58.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.13

MIN: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	NSH	MIN
Season SV%	0.875	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	22	21	1	95.5%	3.00	1	2.00
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	22	20	2	90.9%	2.85	2	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NSH at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	MIN
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	1.02
1	MIN	14	0	0.89
2	NSH	10	0	0.74
2	MIN	9	0	0.65
3	NSH	6	2	1.09
3	MIN	20	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown