Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.6%
CAR: 40.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.93
CAR: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs CAR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | UTA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | UTA |
| 2026-01-29 | CAR 5 - 4 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-08 | CAR 7 - 3 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-13 | UTA 4 - 1 CAR | UTA | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 11 | 1 | 0.72 |
| 1 | CAR | 19 | 3 | 1.75 |
| 2 | UTA | 14 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 2 | CAR | 6 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 3 | UTA | 23 | 0 | 1.77 |
| 3 | CAR | 22 | 4 | 3.48 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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