Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 50.1%

CBJ: 49.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.98

CBJ: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • MTL at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	MTL
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	15	1	1.28
1	CBJ	19	4	1.75
2	MTL	7	0	0.53
2	CBJ	18	2	1.73
3	MTL	14	0	0.80
3	CBJ	12	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3