Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

WPG: 49.9%

PHI: 50.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.97

PHI: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	WPG 1 - 7 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-16	PHI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-06	PHI 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-01	WPG 1 - 2 PHI	PHI	WPG
2024-02-08	PHI 4 - 1 WPG	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	1.10
1	PHI	20	0	0.95
2	WPG	15	0	0.84
2	PHI	7	0	0.35
3	WPG	15	1	0.80
3	PHI	9	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2