Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 58.7%

CGY: 41.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.51

CGY: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

N. Kokko

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	SEA	CGY
Season SV%	—	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	N. Kokko	27	26	1	96.3%	1.65	0	0.65
CGY	Devin Cooley	21	17	4	81.0%	3.06	3	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.82
1	CGY	17	0	0.66
2	SEA	14	0	0.96
2	CGY	9	0	0.38
3	SEA	10	3	1.27
3	CGY	15	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown