Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SEA: 53.6%

CGY: 46.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.46

CGY: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.82
1	CGY	17	0	0.66
2	SEA	14	0	0.96
2	CGY	9	0	0.38
3	SEA	10	3	1.27
3	CGY	15	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0