Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 60.9%

VGK: 39.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.20

VGK: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2025-12-27	VGK 5 - 6 COL	COL	VGK
2025-10-31	VGK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-08	COL 3 - 2 VGK	COL	COL
2024-11-27	COL 2 - 1 VGK	COL	COL

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8