Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 52.6%

OTT: 47.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.16

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

OTT

J. Reimer

Stat	NJD	OTT
Season SV%	0.939	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	1.60	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	30	27	3	90.0%	3.17	2	0.17
OTT	J. Reimer	30	26	4	86.7%	3.80	3	-0.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs OTT: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-12	NJD 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	NJD
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.28
1	OTT	11	0	0.77
2	NJD	6	0	0.22
2	OTT	19	2	1.57
3	NJD	21	0	1.21
3	OTT	8	0	0.71
4	NJD	9	1	1.09
4	OTT	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2