Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-04-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 41.2%
UTA: 58.8%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.68
UTA: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | CGY | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.982 | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | CGY 4 - 1 UTA | CGY | UTA |
| 2025-12-06 | CGY 2 - 0 UTA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-10-15 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-01 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-02 | CGY 3 - 5 UTA | UTA | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2
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