New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

FLA: 55.3%

NYR: 44.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.33

NYR: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	2	0.82
1	NYR	13	2	1.09
2	FLA	13	0	0.31
2	NYR	13	3	1.37
3	FLA	12	2	1.51
3	NYR	18	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1