Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 47.7%

CAR: 52.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.89

CAR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	1.16
1	CAR	9	0	0.71
2	PHI	7	3	1.05
2	CAR	12	0	0.65
3	PHI	11	3	1.60
3	CAR	19	0	0.60
4	PHI	2	1	0.29
4	CAR	5	0	0.35
5	PHI	4	1	0.94
5	CAR	4	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0